Hacker News
new
|
past
|
comments
|
ask
|
show
|
jobs
|
submit
login
Draft Report on AI Timelines
(
lesswrong.com
)
2 points
by
algo_trader
on Feb 26, 2022
|
hide
|
past
|
favorite
|
1 comment
algo_trader
on Feb 26, 2022
[–]
This is a good summary comment. The original report is by Contra for Open Philanthropy.
TLDR: 10% chance of “transformative AI” by 2031, 50% chance by 2052, 80% by 2100.
Consider applying for YC's Summer 2026 batch! Applications are open till May 4
Guidelines
|
FAQ
|
Lists
|
API
|
Security
|
Legal
|
Apply to YC
|
Contact
Search:
TLDR: 10% chance of “transformative AI” by 2031, 50% chance by 2052, 80% by 2100.